Can we Predict the Future?!

I am a dreamer. The word ‘dreamer’ suits me so well that my name can be a synonym to it. I am realistic and practical (in a way), but I just can’t stop thinking and dreaming of probabilities and possibilities.

The opposite of my mind is best described as the word ‘boredom.’ My mind races against tedium and doing anything twice. Repetitive chores are a nuisance that should be totally eliminated by robots and mechanical machines.

Look, this is the robotic, neurotic, apocalyptic, psychotic information age!

My mind starts wandering whenever I lose just a little concentration. Yesterday, I was thinking of my parents’ life before going on to my grandparents, great grandparents and you get the point. The line of thought was really crazy. It went from World War II (my grandmas) right up to the Ice Age!

After I practically reverse engineered my existence (and the existence of practically everyone currently alive on Earth), I begin thinking about the future. The line of thought went on smoothly with the assumption that global warming and nuclear warfare would not wipe out mankind from the face of the Earth for the next sixty years.

I predicted an increase of natural disasters around fault lines!

I predicted that social instability due to aging population would reduce many nations into a welfare state!

I predicted that China would continue growing until it could stand against the United States on equal terms!

I predicted that the current economic crisis is a long-term correction that will last for the next 10 years in some countries!

I predicted my own death!

I predicted that I am going to say that I am lying when I predicted the last 5 items on this list!

I am lying. But in saying that I am lying, I have turned my statement into the truth (as long as you believe this statement). So what is the secret of  making a prediction? Why are there so many people making predictions and worse, why is so many people believing in predictions?

Take a look at the five predictions I have made. All of them had one thing in common, in that most of them would happen due to the certainty of data projections and ironically, the lack of data.

The first prediction was lame. Natural disasters most frequently occur near fault lines! Furthermore, I mentioned increase without mentioning whether it is an increase in magnitude (scale of destruction) or quantity (number of disasters).

The second prediction is already happening and so it doesn’t count at all!

The third prediction is tricky. Like the first, the boundary is not set on whether I am saying that China will equal the United States in terms of military or economic might. Bear in mind that China already have ‘veto’ powers in the United Nations (similar to that of the United States).

I will skip the fourth prediction (similar to number one and three)

The fifth prediction is a mathematical, philosophical, and biological certainty! A real prediction would be the date of my death (at what time, wearing what clothes, etc).

The sixth prediction is true because it is generated from the first five.

There you have it, six predictions that will come true. Before you think that this is the most stupid article you have read, look back and think of the various forecasters, fortune tellers, analysts, and horoscopes you believe in.

Honestly, if someone could foretell the future accurately, he/she (I do not discriminate by gender) would not have told the world his/her (this is getting irritating) predictions! By saying so, these people who are making predictions to the public would be Warren Buffett or Bill Gates and not virtually ‘begging’ you for money by offering his/her ‘services.’

The next time you want to have your fortune told, come to me! I do it for free!

But you would not like my predictions……sinister laugh…..

~ESZ, James

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Comments
4 Responses to “Can we Predict the Future?!”
  1. pochp says:

    Hey James, do you notice how much sci-fi ideas are becoming reality?

  2. jamesesz says:

    Exactly! That is the sad part! People who do predict the future (Jules Verne, Leonardo Da Vinci) gets recognition long after they are dead.

    Furthermore, although the concept (for example the submarine) is the same, no one can really predict the exact shape and time the submarine can come into existence.

    I am not saying that all predictions are false. Just bear in mind that sometimes the craziest predictions come true (with the most impact) while the majority of them don’t materialize.

    I personally think it would be more prudent to think of the motive behind someone making the prediction (instead of silently harvesting the benefits for himself).

    ~ESZ, James

  3. lizii says:

    I know someone that’s very scientifically minded, and he believes we could predict the future. The arguement goes something like this:

    If we were able to calculate, we’d be able to analyse every single atom and molecule, and the movement of everything. This first movement creates a second movement, and a third movement, and so on. Each of these particles must move in a particular way due to their reaction from the first particle. Therefore, to predict the future, we must analyse the movement of every molecule.

    So this guy tells me that if we had some kind of super computer that was able to analyse this sort of motion, we’d be able to predict the future infinitely. What do you think?

  4. jamesesz says:

    Nice one Lizii! Sounds like the General Unified Theory (theory of everything) to me. However,the question on whether human behavior can be predicted using the same method is not that easy to solve.

    I admit that if you absolutely know the wind directions, pressure centers, fault lines and gravity forces, you can generally predict the weather (they are using a supercomputer for it). But the weather predictions are never perfect, right? lol..

    There is almost infinite possibilities of what causes things to happen. In order to accurately (without fail) map the future, we must not only study every atom and molecule of Earth but the whole Universe!

    Choice and free-will is similar to staring at the images produced by putting two mirrors directly opposite one another. The possibilities are infinite. If the supercomputer of yours can measure the movement of everything, it would probably produce near infinite possibilities (unless you specify the boundaries; what will happen to me in 5 minutes for example).

    Therefore, even if a supercom can do what you said it can do, our human mind and body could not possibly comprehend the sum of all parts (since we are a part of the Universe). How can a being subject to relativity understand the absolute movement of the Universe?

    Arthur Schopenhauer once said; it is the mind that understands matter, so how can matter understand the mind?

    Do tell me what you think about my reply. I am also subject to relativity!

    ~ESZ, James

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